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This fact seems to hold true for brand new card counters. They have a series of losing sessions that can be unsettling if the player is not prepared for this typical start. The obvious reasons for this are that the player makes mistakes in the count, bets to much of the bankroll on any one hand or the house wins even though the edge was mathematically with the player. Remember this is always gambling and not shooting fish in a barrel. Survival over a period of time so the edge the counting gives is part of the learning curve of playing this method of gambling.
The secret to True Count is estimating the decks that are still in the shoe. The discard rack is a good way to estimate the cards that have been used out of the shoe. If the stack were about the same as the cards in the shoe, the number of decks left in a six-deck shoe would be about 3. If the count were M-6 the true Count would be M-2. As you can see, the sign of the count makes no difference when figuring the True Count. The number of decks left to be dealt after some have been dealt divides the total count. The sign of the count stays with the answer and become the True Count. The importance of this True Count number will be discussed in a later lesson. Suffice to say; you now know how to calculate the True Count. See also: |